Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 3 Dec 2025, the highest close was 82% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 65.5% on 26 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 65.5% on 29 Nov 2025. $10.33K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 3 Dec 2025, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 69.5% |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 82.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zyy8o2 | No | 1.25K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 868 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 201 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 183 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-december
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 167 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 157.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 107 |
| Golden Harbor 0824 | Yes | 96.69 |
| assertequal | No | 66 |
| Gudimstrom | No | 54.05 |
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