Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 13 Jul 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 43% on 13 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 43% on 13 Jul 2025. $4.62K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 13 Jul 2025, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 53.5% |
| 13 Jul 2025 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1gosobog | Yes | 3.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
An interview of Donald Trump by Lara Lea Trump is scheduled to air on July 12, 9PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/FoxNews/status/1943457173608030374 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or Fox, or otherwise is not released by July 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by July 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be audio/video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-during-his-fox-news-interview-on-july-12
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