Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2025.
$1.01K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ceshi2xiaoping | Yes | 10.53 |
| Impassioned-Auto | Yes | 2.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a ballroom dinner on October 15, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President hosts a Ballroom Dinner" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-ballroom-dinner-on-october-15
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