Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 65% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2024 to 4 Aug 2024, the highest close was 100% on 4 Aug 2024 and the lowest 65% on 2 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 100% on 4 Aug 2024. $16.34K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Aug 2024 – 4 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 65.0% |
| 4 Aug 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Capital-Soil | No | 5 |
| Cultivated-Embossing | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the word "Hannibal" or "Lecter" between August 1, 5:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-august
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