Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 12% on 14 Feb 2026. $7.02K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 53.0% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Infinite-Power | Yes | 751.21 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 342 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 334 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 301 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-february-15
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 256 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 153 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 95 |
| RaverSpud | Yes | 92.49 |
| notabot10 | Yes | 52.63 |
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