Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 52% on 29 Nov 2024 and the low 9.5% on 4 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 52% on 29 Nov 2024. $6.23K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 19 Nov 2024 – 6 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 16.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is ten minutes (600 seconds) or greater in length. Only a live speech will qualify for this market. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Gaetz" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Gaetz" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US politician Matt Gaetz. If Donald Trump makes no speech by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-next-speech
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