Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 52% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2024 to 27 Oct 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 27 Oct 2024 and the lowest 38.5% on 26 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 99.9% on 27 Oct 2024. $37.73K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 1:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2024 – 27 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2024 | 52.0% |
| 27 Oct 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Intent-Underground | No | 129.99 |
| Respekboom | No | 5 |
| JanSobieski3 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall on October 26 in State College, Pennsylvania (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-state-college-pennslyvania). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "french fries" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Possessives of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 26, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-26
| Yes |
| 0.02 |
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