Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 18.5% on 4 Nov 2025. $4.52K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 5 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seekingomega | Yes | 1K |
| murec | Yes | 33.33 |
| Villainous-Fugato | Yes | 16.67 |
| Assured-Porcelain | Yes | 11.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at the America Business Forum on November 5 (see https://refreshmiami.com/news/president-trump-to-speak-at-upcoming-america-business-forum/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's appearance at the specified event on November 5, 2025 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-america-business-forum-on-november-5
| chngynch | Yes | 5.88 |
| Apt-Barracks | Yes | 3.7 |
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