Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 53% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 37% on 11 Oct 2026. $450.77 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 3:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aerotynecapital | Yes | 61.57 |
| frplayers | Yes | 50 |
| Acrobatic-Dam | Yes | 23.81 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio on October 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-youngstown-ohio-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Ohio on October 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-ohio-october-12
| FrogEdge | Yes | 20 |
| Olena758 | Yes | 3.51 |
| foolishcactus | No | 0.02 |
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