Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 53% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 18% on 5 Aug 2026. $941.95 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 53.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 100.7 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 42 |
| Bleak-Rediscovery-Gherkin | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-august-20260728181847522
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 5.49 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| 80sdfs | Yes | 1 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.6 |
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