Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during the X space?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Sep 17, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$100.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 17, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61.5%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 17 Sep 2024, the highest close was 89.5% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 57.5% on 16 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 62% on 15 Sep 2024. $100.19K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 2:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 17 Sep 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Sep 2024	89.5%
17 Sep 2024	61.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Soltan60	No	50
Dora	Yes	4.69
0xabcd	Yes	0.03

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon", "Musk", or "Elon Musk", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.