Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 Jul 2026 and the low 41.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 50% on 22 Jul 2026. $554.89 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 9:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 22 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 41.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| kirit4 | No | 39.68 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 5 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Swift Tide 1451 | Yes | 2.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-20-july-26-20260719005322431
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