Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
$190.88K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 68%–78%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2024 | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| daefraqg | Yes | 1.15K |
| bondsbondsbonds | No | 70 |
| Forward | No | 0.53 |
| 1mperator17 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled to give a speech on October 1 in Waunakee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-waunakee-wisconsin). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "debate" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "debate" is part of the compound word and references a public discussion between competing political candidates. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 1, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech-oct-1
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