Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2024 to 16 Oct 2024, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Oct 2024 and the lowest 34% on 16 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34% on 16 Oct 2024. $58.97K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 3:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct 2024 – 16 Oct 2024, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2024 | 50.5% |
| 16 Oct 2024 | 34.0% |
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Donald Trump has scheduled an event on October 15 in Atlanta, Georgia (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-atlanta-georgia). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dark MAGA" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 15, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-speech-oct-15
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