Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 28 Feb 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 5.3% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 54.5% on 24 Feb 2026. $15.74K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 5.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Scout F0A4 | Yes | 104.27 |
| That-Quote | Yes | 100.43 |
| KELANIGHT | Yes | 92.53 |
| sacredscythe91 | Yes | 52.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-february
| Esteemed-Albatross | Yes | 51.45 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 31.25 |
| w34th3r | Yes | 20 |
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| Kedra | Yes | 17 |
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