Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 4 May 2025 and the low 36% on 3 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 64.5% on 4 May 2025. $278.59K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 May 2025 – 5 May 2025, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 36.0% |
| 5 May 2025 | 39.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 3, 00:00 AM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-134
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