Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 19.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2026 to 23 Jul 2026, the highest close was 36% on 21 Jul 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 19.5% on 23 Jul 2026. $2.04K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 24, 8:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 36.0% |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder | No | 101 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Swift Tide 1451 | Yes | 28.56 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-20-july-26-20260719005322431
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | No | 14 |
| kirit4 | No | 13.64 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 5.74 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
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