Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 5% on 17 Aug 2024 and the low 0.1% on 18 Aug 2024. $59.75K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 18, 10:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 17 Aug 2024 – 18 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 5.0% |
| 18 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BasedMoneyLichKing | Yes | 34.05K |
| MatrixMember | Yes | 4.4K |
| Soche... | Yes | 227.27 |
| Shadowy-Security | Yes | 133.33 |
| Worn-Wedding | Yes | 98.35 |
| Rdl | Yes | 0.03 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Wilkes-Barre on Saturday, August 17. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Couch" during his rally currently scheduled for August 17. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the rally is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the rally.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-saturday-rally
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
