Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 28 Jan 2026, the highest close was 68% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 1.1% on 28 Jan 2026. $11.57K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 28 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dismal-Divide | Yes | 558.13 |
| hereticprayers | Yes | 500.22 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.99 |
| Tight-Tablet | Yes | 135.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3sxBG4aELKw
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-iowa-on-january-27
| Dangfarrik101 | Yes | 104 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| doubleandmore | Yes | 58.76 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 49.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 49.96 |
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