
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 29 Oct 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 26 Oct 2024 and the lowest 12% on 29 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 18% on 27 Oct 2024. $23.97K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 1:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 29 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 37.5% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gogonuts | Yes | 410 |
| VFALL | Yes | 60 |
| Respekboom | Yes | 5 |
| mrQ | No | 0.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall on October 28 in Atlanta, Georgia (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-atlanta-ga). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Comrade Kamala" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 28, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-rally-oct-28
| funcatlol | Yes | 0.13 |
| Chrissistar04 | No | 0.02 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 0.01 |
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