Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2024.
$12.74K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 10:07 PM UTC
No price has been recorded for this market yet, so there is nothing to chart.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Respekboom | No | 147.21 |
| Dawninthewild | No | 37.07 |
| dududududu | No | 0.02 |
| piswq | Yes | 0.01 |
| yulichka | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall on October 21 in Greenville, North Carolina (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-greenville-north-carolina). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially named the People's Republic of China. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 21, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-21
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