Will Trump say "cheat" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 31, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.9K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 31, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 32%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 29 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Oct 2024 to 31 Oct 2024, the highest close was 77.5% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 64.5% on 29 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 77.5% on 30 Oct 2024. $8.91K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 2:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Oct 2024 – 31 Oct 2024, chart shows 60%–85%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Oct 2024	64.5%
31 Oct 2024	68.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
SyrupBringer	Yes	10
ingois13	Yes	5

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 30 in Green Bay, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-green-bay-wisconsin). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cheat" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "cheat" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to acting dishonestly or unfairly in order to gain an advantage, or otherwise the act of having an affair. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 30, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.