Will Trump say "Card" during the X space?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Sep 17, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$77.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 17, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 17 Sep 2024, the highest close was 50% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 33.5% on 17 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37% on 16 Sep 2024. $77.29K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 2:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 17 Sep 2024, chart shows 30%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Sep 2024	50.0%
17 Sep 2024	33.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
0xabcd	Yes	0.03
ShyLOCKz	Yes	0.03

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "card" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "card" is part of the compound word and references a collectible item sought after for collecting and trading. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.