Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 71% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 71% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 91.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $22.82K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 71.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HugeSilver | No | 1.09K |
| 123z | No | 1.04K |
| mayonez | No | 999.92 |
| CrystalRowe2550 | No | 853 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is set to make an address on December 17, 2025 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115730644486071082). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled address on December 17, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qtEX-OUEnvQ
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17
| fullvalue | No | 300 |
| SaylorMC | No | 254.75 |
| AndersonT | No | 160 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
| prophesy | No | 128.07 |
| Koookxbt | No | 111.11 |
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