Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 86% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 5 Sep 2024, the highest close was 98.3% on 5 Sep 2024 and the lowest 86% on 4 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 98.3% on 5 Sep 2024. $30.84K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 5 Sep 2024, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 86.0% |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 98.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| llupine | No | 199.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Fox News is scheduled to host a town hall with Donald Trump at the New Holland Arena in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania on September 4th from 9-10 PM/ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border czar" during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If Trump does not give a speak at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 4, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video/audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-town-hall
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