Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 14 Aug 2026. $11.35K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 8:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 6.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Technology | Yes | 640.97 |
| Cold-Methodology | Yes | 500 |
| Carefree-Efficiency | Yes | 419.35 |
| LuckyMo | Yes | 353.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-in-new-york-20260811183234678
| snoepje | Yes | 281.96 |
| vddcs | Yes | 254.2 |
| YHWH-IS-GOD | Yes | 185.79 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 163.59 |
| Nippy-Criticism | Yes | 64.06 |
| Rdl | Yes | 42.56 |
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