Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 25 Jun 2025, the highest close was 54% on 25 Jun 2025 and the lowest 50% on 24 Jun 2025. $52.87K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 25 Jun 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jun 2025 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bobbyfish | No | 6.8K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 680 |
| Bobbyrobije | No | 141.41 |
| GotRichbyWar | No | 70.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at the NATO Summit taking place on June 25, 2025 (https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/21/trump-nato-defense-spending-00416118). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event where Trump delivers a speech at NATO Summit (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nato-summit-speech-on-june-25
| qwertzu | No | 20 |
| recar0699 | No | 16.67 |
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