Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 28 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 May 2025 to 31 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 31 May 2025 and the lowest 55.5% on 28 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 100% on 31 May 2025. $3.1K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 May 2025 – 31 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | 55.5% |
| 31 May 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chrissistar04 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give a rally on May 30, 2025, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, in the wake of an announced U.S. Steel-Nippon Steel partnership plan. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/pittsburgh/news/us-steel-headquarters-pittsburgh-trump/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word comprised of two full words in common usage will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-pittsburgh-rally-on-may-30
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