Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 25, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$52.4K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 25, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 23 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2024 to 25 Oct 2024, the highest close was 57.5% on 23 Oct 2024 and the lowest 53% on 24 Oct 2024. $52.41K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 6:16 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2024 – 25 Oct 2024, chart shows 50%–62%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Oct 2024	57.5%
25 Oct 2024	53.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Respekboom	Yes	5
zzzzsw33	Yes	0.02
3h453h54	Yes	0.02
dsgdsaaa	Yes	0.02

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall on October 24 in Las Vegas, Nevada (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/turning-point-pac-and-turning-point-action-to-host-united-for-change-rally-in-las-vegas-featuring-special-guest-president-donald-j-trump). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "American dream" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 24, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.