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Resolved No on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 10 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 16.5% on 10 Sep 2024 and the low 13.5% on 11 Sep 2024. $164.63K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 6:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Sep 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2024 | 16.5% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| michelleobamalover | Yes | 4K |
| asdfzxc | Yes | 588.24 |
| awdawd | Yes | 214.29 |
| MarsLife | Yes | 142.86 |
| triskelion | Yes | 100 |
| Cultured-Temple | Yes | 14.29 |
| onedollarto1million | Yes | 0.1 |
| carp | No | 0.1 |
| Nucclear | No | 0.02 |
| xerafs | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-a-slur-during-the-debate
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