Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 71.5% on 6 May 2025 and the low 9.5% on 10 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 60.5% on 4 May 2025. $22.59K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 3 May 2025 – 10 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 26.0% |
| 10 May 2025 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| doserdar | Yes | 2.11K |
| Abelkhel | Yes | 124.93 |
| CTownOG | Yes | 57.31 |
| Mico0 | Yes | 20.5 |
| fhgnrfbnbdh | Yes | 10 |
| jdee | Yes | 10 |
| chokey | Yes | 5.56 |
| Kedra | No | 0.05 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 0.02 |
| qnguyen301 | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 3, 00:00 AM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-134
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