Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 7 Dec 2024, the highest close was 14.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 0.5% on 7 Dec 2024. $73.75K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 3:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 14.5% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces his new pick for Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual picked by Trump to replace Hegseth as US Secretary of Defense - if another person is picked, or Hegseth isn't replaced at all, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth, Ron DeSantis, and these individuals' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-replace-hegseth-with-desantis
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| strkk | Yes | 0.01 |
