Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 262 daily closes on record from 16 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 16 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. $824.84K traded over the market's life.
152 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 262 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| naoufel | Yes | 4.88K |
| Bi6Silver | Yes | 571.86 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes for individuals earning less than $150,000 per year in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income, occupation, or other criteria) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax for individuals earning under $150,000. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-taxes-on-income-150k
| Emotional-Endorsement | Yes | 278.09 |
| pdoom | Yes | 211.27 |
| linkengongyuan | Yes | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| mmontgom13 | Yes | 181.82 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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