Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2025 to 10 Apr 2025, the highest close was 50% on 10 Apr 2025 and the lowest 25.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50% on 10 Apr 2025. $231.09 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2025 – 10 Apr 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | 25.5% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the listed country by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-reduce-tariffs-on-in-april
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