Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.5%. Yes opened at 54% on 19 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2023 to 4 Oct 2023, the highest close was 92.5% on 4 Oct 2023 and the lowest 4% on 2 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 87 points up, to 92.5% on 4 Oct 2023. $4.17K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 19 Sep 2023 – 4 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2023 | 54.0% |
| 4 Oct 2023 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| michaelm | No | 1.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between September 18 and October 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-receive-a-gag-order-by-october-15
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