Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 15 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 15 Jun 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 59% on 14 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 59% on 14 Jul 2024. $277.61K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 10:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 15 Jun 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jun 2024 | 58.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.67K |
| Imaginary-Streetcar | Yes | 549.79 |
| moonsadf | Yes | 466.68 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TRUMP (https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0xe4b8583ccb95b25737c016ac88e539d0605949e8) reaches $1b FDV before all other Trump memecoins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The market start date is June 14, 2024, 3:00 PM ET. The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's non-burned supply. Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity or are otherwise faked will not count for this market group.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-trump-coin-to-1b
| pld | Yes | 343.53 |
| Babystepscrypto | Yes | 288.05 |
| trained.instinct | Yes | 100 |
| maisonlambert | Yes | 84.62 |
| Cloudly2 | Yes | 52 |
| btc19 | Yes | 38.46 |
| j0dfps | Yes | 30.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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