Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the low 6.5% on 4 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 27% on 2 May 2026. $216.89 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 6:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 25 Apr 2026 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 4 May 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| letsgo33 | Yes | 10.71 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| tugggjsz | Yes | 5 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 3.68 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 1.61 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 0.21 |
| Poortorich | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-post-this-week-april-27-may-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
