Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 6% on 7 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2023 to 1 Aug 2023, the highest close was 6% on 7 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 22 Jul 2023. $5.91K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jul 2023 – 1 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2023 | 6.0% |
| 1 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Personal-Commuter | Yes | 57.29 |
| Elaborate-Badger | Yes | 1.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump posts on Threads, Instagram's new social media app, by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a repost will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only a new thread, a quote thread, or a reply by Trump will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a post by Trump on Threads, however a consensus of credible media reporting may be used to verify the authenticity of the post.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-post-on-threads-by-july-31
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