Analytics
Yes is at 52%, down 9 points from 61% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 52% on 29 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 52% on 29 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “What will Trump post this week? (October 26 - November 1)”.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20 since listing. The order book holds $7.25, with a 92.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0xtrador with 10 shares; the largest No position is flexer78 with 10.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-post-this-week-october-26-november-1-20261101
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