Will Trump post "Crazy" on final night of DNC?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 23, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$191

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 23, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.

$190.58 traded over the market's life.

1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 6:56 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 66%–78%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Aug 2024	71.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
1276	Yes	0.07

1 of 1 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On August 22, Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that he would doing “a LIVE PLAY BY PLAY on TRUTH Social of Comrade Kamala Harris’ Speech tonight” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113006326768388905). This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts the word “crazy" on Truth Social, Between August 22, 10:00 PM ET and August 23 2:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count. Pluralizations/possessives of the word as well as variance in letter capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the word will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crazy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to behavior which extremely irrational, unpredictable, or mentally unstable. The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Note: The word will count even if it is preceded by a hashtag and appears without a space (e.g., "#TaxDay2024" would count for "tax").