Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 15 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 19 Mar 2025 and the low 0.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.5% on 21 Mar 2025. $15.54K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 4:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Mar 2025 – 21 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | 16.0% |
| 21 Mar 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.22K |
| LoraK | Yes | 200 |
| diyjina | Yes | 4.76 |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.03 |
| kuplinow | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between March 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and March 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-mar-14-21
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