Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 21 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2025 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 98.5% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 62.5% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 98.5% on 22 Jan 2025. $497.16K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Jan 2025 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | 62.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CryptoLydik | No | 10K |
| viralBrocs | No | 9.43K |
| nateateeight | No | 6.23K |
| notaAmerican | No | 3.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ross-ulbricht-in-his-first-week
New to prediction markets?
| REFULSIT-OMNIUM | No | 3.4K |
| sirmassimo | No | 3.31K |
| Amazing-Savory | No | 3.27K |
| god2 | No | 3.14K |
| 0mk | No | 1.68K |
| almc98 | No | 1.49K |
