Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 15 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 52% on 17 Sep 2026. $2.07K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 214.74 |
| ScientificOctopus | Yes | 117.45 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 101.76 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by-september-30-20260914
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 42.02 |
| Outlandish-Expansionism | Yes | 25 |
| nana130299 | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| enderwnd | Yes | 11.06 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
