Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 39% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 82.5% on 5 Sep 2026. $2.17K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 2:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 10 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 63.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 26.98 |
| jackli003 | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by-july-31-20260707005101355
New to prediction markets?
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| PerformSleepState | No | 6 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| Mojito9 | No | 1.97 |
| Neon Kestrel D874 | No | 0.54 |
