Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26% on 14 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27% on 9 Oct 2026. $7.78K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 1:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| bjprolo | No | 9.99 |
| PPMT | No | 7.38 |
| Rapid Orbit BAA8 | Yes | 2.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by-september-30-20260914
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