Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 93% on 8 Sep 2026 and the low 39.5% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 68% on 30 Aug 2026. $2.72K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 2:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 20 Aug 2026 – 10 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 39.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ghoan | No | 79 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 78 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 55 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 |
| romanew-1-new | No | 39.58 |
| ConstantineVIII | No | 29.96 |
| PPMT | No | 25.1 |
| jackli003 | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by-july-31-20260707005101355
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