Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Aug 2026.
$775.8 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 20 Aug 2026, chart shows 38%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 201 |
| MasterMan79 | Yes | 21 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump and Melania are scheduled to give remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026. (https://x.com/MELANIAJTRUMP/status/2089706656896594323). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or Melania say the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s and Melania’s remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-or-melania-say-during-remarks-in-the-white-house-rose-garden
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