Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 19 Nov 2024, the highest close was 42% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 12% on 11 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 12.5% on 9 Nov 2024. $50.14K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 9:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 19 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 42.0% |
| 19 Nov 2024 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.78K |
| Parabellum | Yes | 3.31K |
| Qomen | Yes | 994.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert Lighthizer for US Secretary of Commerce by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-for-commerce-secretary
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 100 |
| achazia | Yes | 1 |
| DRTYUDRYD | Yes | 0.06 |
| GDSFHDFG | Yes | 0.06 |
| UITYUIOTUIOTU | Yes | 0.06 |
| TFHDTYUR | Yes | 0.06 |
| URXDCV | Yes | 0.06 |
