Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 14 Nov 2024 and the low 0.3% on 17 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.9% on 15 Nov 2024. $168.35K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 1:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 13 Nov 2024 – 23 Nov 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 15.0% |
| 23 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.07K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 666 |
| need | Yes | 600 |
| JesusGordo | Yes | 200 |
| Nutriaa | Yes | 99 |
| Pelirrojo | Yes | 70 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 10 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
| HJGDHJGHJ | Yes | 0.07 |
| Zuriohun | No | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for Commissioner of Food and Drug Administration by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-fda-commissioner
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