Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 30% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2024 to 23 Nov 2024, the highest close was 30% on 16 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 11.5% on 17 Nov 2024. $17.71K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 1:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 23 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 30.0% |
| 23 Nov 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.07K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 327.88 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 20 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 15.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jim O'Neill for Commissioner of Food and Drug Administration by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-fda-commissioner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
| DGCXSDF | Yes | 0.06 |
| HJKGHKLGH | Yes | 0.06 |
| HGFFGHJKGHJ | Yes | 0.06 |
| GHDFXCBC | Yes | 0.06 |
| FHGRFJGDHJH | Yes | 0.06 |
